NCAAF Betting: 5 Teams Total to Wager On & 5 to Avoid

NCAAF Betting: 5 Teams Total to Wager On & 5 to Avoid

Written by on July 27, 2021

This week marks one month to the return of college football, with Week 0 action beginning Saturday, August 28th. Media Days are near their conclusion and all eyes will shift to pre-season practices beginning in a few weeks. 

MyBookie released NCAAF odds for teams, marking the 2021 season is just around the corner. We’ve dug into the totals and found our five favorite win totals to bet on as well as five totals to avoid this year.

College Football Win Totals to Bet On and to Avoid

Five Totals to Bet On

  • Florida State Seminoles UNDER 5.5 (+115)

The Seminoles turn the page on a disastrous 2020 campaign that saw FSU fail to make a bowl game after a 3-6 record under first-year head coach Mike Norvell. With a season opener against Notre Dame and road contests against North Carolina, Clemson, Boston College, and Florida, it’s hard to imagine the rebuilding Seminoles getting to six wins in 2021.

  • Georgia Bulldogs OVER 10.5 (-150)

We should known right after week one if this was a good play or not. The Bulldogs open the 2021 season with a highly anticipated matchup against the Clemson Tigers. Survive that game, and it’s hard to see where Georgia will slip up twice over the rest of their schedule.

  • Iowa State Cyclones OVER 9.5 (+100)

Iowa State returns nearly every starter from last season’s team, including record-setting quarterback Brock Purdy. The Cyclones get instate rival Iowa at home as well as Texas, and their only tough road task comes near the end of the season with a trip to Norman, OK, to take on the Sooners.

  • Memphis Tigers UNDER 8 (-110)

The Tigers were a talented team in 2020 which led Memphis to an 8-3 mark that included a bowl victory over FAU. While the offense did its part, the Tigers’ defense was shredded last season. The play of the defense will be one of the biggest keys for Memphis this season that features an unfavorable schedule for the Tigers.

  • USC Trojans OVER 8.5 (+105)

We love this one at plus-money. This total seems like a steal for the Pac-12 South favorite. 

Kedon Slovis is back under center, and the Trojans have a good slate of games to get to nine regular-season victories. USC could easily be 6-0 when they head to South Bend to take on the Irish in late October.

Five Total Bets to Avoid

Florida Gators – 9

  • Over (-125)
  • Under (-105)

Predicting how the Gators are going to do after the departure of Kyle Trask, Kyle Pitts, and Kadrius Toney isn’t easy, and for that, we’d avoid this total. The defensive side of the ball has a lot of question marks surrounding it after a dismal 2020. Loads of talent remain on the roster, which makes us hesitant to select a side here.

Iowa Hawkeyes – 8.5

  • Over (-110)
  • Under (-120)

The Hawkeyes begin the season against Indiana and at Iowa State and could easily drop both those contests making it hard to find nine wins over the rest of the season. A win against either team and the chances improve tenfold. With so many unknowns heading into week one, this is another total we’d avoid.

Kansas Jayhawks – 1

  • Over (-190)
  • Under (+155)

Sadly this total is accurate. The Jayhawks went winless last season and usher in a new head coach this season. Kansas has no cupcakes on the schedule, with non-conference games against South Dakota, Coastal Carolina, and Duke.

LSU Tigers – 8.5

  • Over (-115)
  • Under (-115)

The Tigers went 5-5 last year after their unbelievable national title season in 2019. LSU should be much improved this season and won their final two games of the regular season. Questions remain at some positions, including quarterback, which refrains from a play here.

Miami (FL) – 9

  • Over (-125)
  • Under (-105)

The Hurricanes always seem to have the preseason hype and never quite live up to the expectations. Previewing their schedule, there is a clear path to ten wins, but can Miami stay focused week in and week out? We aren’t touching this one.