UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs Till Betting Preview

UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs Till Betting Preview

Written by on September 3, 2021

The upcoming UFC Fight Night is showing many betting options that could lead to an eventful night. The main card typically has the stars fighting, and this one is no different. 

One fight to look out for is the main attraction between middleweights Derek Brunson and Darren Till. These fighters will compete to end the battle quickly. With that in mind, let’s take a look at both fighters so you can bet against their UFC odds

MMA Betting Analysis for Brunson vs Till

Main Event Breakdown

  • Date: Sat, Sep 4, 3:00 PM
  • Venue: UFC Apex
  • Watch on: ESPN+

Derek Brunson (22-7-0)

Brunson currently rides a four-fight victory streak coming into this battle. Looking into a recent performance, this turned into a unanimous decision victory against Kevin Holland back in March. 

Looking at what he provides in the octagon, his resume points to 12 wins by knockout, three by submission, and seven by decision. Whether it is striking or carrying out a long battle, he has shown to get the job done.  

He strikes with an accuracy of 47 percent and has a grappling accuracy of 33 percent. He delivers 3.46 significant strikes each minute while taking on 2.72. 

Brunson defends against takedowns at 94 percent and defends against significant strikes with a defense at 53 percent. He also puts up roughly three takedowns and 0.50 submissions each 15 minutes of fight time. 

Darren “The Gorilla” Till (18-3-1)

Till is returning to action after a unanimous decision loss to Robert Whittaker back in July. This loss put him in a negative spot, as his previous battle had him winning against Kelvin Gastelum in his previous matchup. By the looks of things, though, he has only been successful with one victory out of the last four he has partaken in. 

Looking at what his fighting resume reveals, you can see 10 wins by knockout, two by submission, and six by decision. This record almost matched Brunson, so you should expect a striking war. 

He strikes with an accuracy of 46 percent and has a grappling accuracy of 41 percent. He delivers 2.27 significant strikes each minute while also taking on 2.99. 

Till defends against takedowns at 82 percent and defends against significant strikes with a defense at 58 percent. He also puts up less than a takedown in every 15 minutes of action. 

Odds for Main Event 

The odds have not shifted a lot since the opening day, meaning this battle is slightly favoring Till. MyBookie has the odds currently sitting at:

*odds are subject to changes 

Potential Winning Pick

Since each fighter almost mirrors the other, you should expect a significant amount of fight time spent striking. However, there could also be plenty of action on the ground if needed. 

Till has been given some credit by the market, but he has struggled lately. With this opportunity available, you could gain a lot here. 

Brunson appears to be the more polished fighter with recent success. In addition, his recent victories were a clear result of his ability to land more strikes than his opponents. 

Pick: Brunson wins via decision, at +150