A slight change to the upcoming UFC Fight Night main event has caused some attention as to who would replace Holly Holm. However, Aspen Ladd steps in on short notice to take on Norma Dumont to keep the main event intact.
Holm had to withdraw due to an injury, while Ladd also happened to be coming off of a cancellation. Below you can see how these two stack up for this women’s featherweight showdown. Let’s jump right into action so you can get ready to set down your bets against the UFC odds.
MMA Betting Analysis for Ladd vs. Dumont
Main Event Breakdown
- Date: Sat, Oct 16, 7:00 PM
- Venue: UFC Apex
- Watch on: ESPN+
Aspen Ladd (9-1-0)
Ladd may be stepping in on short notice, but it has been quite some time since she has landed a successful victory. Her last battle was back in December of 2019, which was a TKO victory against Yana Kunitskaya.
Looking at her fighting resume, it reveals six wins by knockout, one by submission, and two by decision. So far, she has been steady on her feet, striking, and has a knack for ending battles early.
She has been striking with accuracy at 55 percent and has a grappling accuracy at 75 percent. She delivers a solid 5.22 significant strikes a minute while also taking on 4.84.
Ladd defends against takedowns at 66 percent and defends against significant strikes with a defense at 46 percent. She also throws in 2.45 takedowns and 1.20 submissions in every 15 minutes of action.
Norma “The Immortal” Dumont (6-1-0)
Dumont has a new opponent and only a short amount of time to adjust to a different style. Her last two battles have been solid wins, especially a split decision win against Felicia Spencer back in May of this year.
Looking into her fighting profile, it shows her having two wins by submission and four by decision. She has not been able to land a knockout yet, which could be interesting if this fight stays a striking war.
She strikes with accuracy at 53 percent and has a grappling accuracy at 40 percent. She delivers a great 4.98 significant strikes a minute while only taking on 2.86, which could help her out here.
Dumont has been able to defend against takedowns at 100 percent and defends against significant strikes at 67 percent. She also adds 1.79 takedowns per 15 minutes to the mix of things.
Odds for Main Event
The market has this battle coming in fairly close for a coin flip. For the moneyline, MyBookie has the current odds available at:
- Ladd: -130
- Dumont: +100
*odds are subject to changes
Potential Winning Pick
With Ladd stepping in on short notice and having some missed weight issue with her last fight, she makes a solid case to win here. Then again, Dumont has not been as aggressive when going in for the knockout win but has won the striking battle in her last two fights.
Looking ahead, Ladd has the better resume of the two and could close out this opportunity. Look for her to land the TKO victory.
Pick: Ladd wins by TKO, at -130