The New England Patriots are set to host the Dallas Cowboys in one of the most interesting matchups of the 2019 NFL season. Sunday afternoon’s contest will pit the league’s No.1 offense against the No.1 defense. New England leads the NFL in yards per game allowed and opponents’ yards per play entering Week 12.
The Patriots have surrendered a league-best 10.8 points per game, giving them nearly a five-point edge over the next best unit. Dallas leads the league in yards per play. This should fundamentally provide the answer to whether offense or defense is more important in today’s league.
Let’s take a look at the latest NFL Odds while making some predictions.
Cowboys vs Patriots 2019 NFL Week 12 Odds, Preview & Prediction
New England PatriotsTom Brady is usually the first thing people think of when the Pats come to town, but it has been the Defense that is recognized this year. The secondary is only allowing opposing QBs a passer rating of 49.2. In the game against Philadelphia, New England was punched in the mouth early, going down 10-0 early in the second quarter.
The Patriots regrouped, relying on their defense, which recorded five sacks, a fumble recovery and held the Eagles to three of 13 on third-down conversions. New England currently only has a two game lead over the BIlls in the division, so this matchup is crucial for them to win.
Brady currently has his worst passer rating over the last six years. The good news is the Dallas D just made career backup Jeff Driskel look like a new man. Driskel had a 109.3 rating and led the team to put up 27 points, which is not good against Detroit.
This just goes to show that Tom Brady could break out of his slump and put some points up against this Cowboys defense.
Dallas CowboysDallas has only played three teams with winning records this year and has lost all of them. They have been able to beat the middling teams on the schedule but not much more than that. Dak Prescott has been playing like a top five QB this year.
That doesn’t mean this stretch will continue against a tough secondary for the pats. Dallas also has not won a game against New England in their last five contests. The Patriots have won 20 straight home games, which only makes the challenge of playing on the road tougher.
Ezekiel Elliott is usually one of the best backs in the league but has seen a smaller role in the offense diminish that talk. He is still responsible for 833 yards and seven scores on the season, both of which lead his team. Amari Cooper has blossomed in an expanded role this year.
He has looked to be worth the acquisition cost as he is responsible for 889 yards receiving and seven touchdowns on the year. The Cowboys need a win to keep atop the NFC East.
Super Bowl Preview?The Patriots bring an almost two year home win streak into this matchup and there is little reason to believe that will change in this one.
The Pats are 6.5 point favorites and the total is 45.5. The old saying “defense wins championships” should prevail in this one as Dak Prescott will have trouble getting the offense rolling against a stout New England passing defense.