Tennis Betting: 2021 Australian Open Predictions

Tennis Betting: 2021 Australian Open Predictions

Written by on February 8, 2021 brings you free tennis betting previews and predictions for the first day of 2021 Australian Open, where we look at best bets for both men’s and women’s matches played on Monday, February 8.

Check out our three Australian Open betting predictions for games between Naomi Osaka and Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova, Serena Williams and Laura Siegemund, as well as men’s match between Dominic Thiem and Mikhail Kukushkin. With that in mind, let’s get right to it so you can bet against their Australian Open odds.

2021 Australian Open Betting Predictions

Naomi Osaka vs Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova – Monday, February 8 – 11:00 AEDT

Naomi Osaka has travelled to Australia as the main favourite to repeat her success from 2019 and win the trophy, so it should not come off as a surprise the Japanese-Haitian is priced as a heavy favourite to win her opening match of the event. Having said that, she is set to face one of the toughest unseeded players in the draw, Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova.

The 29-year-old Russian tennis player has reached the quarter-finals of the Australia open three times in the last four years and is a very tough opponent to beat, even for Osaka who is 1-1 in the head to head with the Russian. That begs the question: Can Osaka compete with the experienced Pavlyuchenkova or will he crash out in the first round?

This will be a very difficult opener for Osaka, but based on her form (14-match winning streak) and the fact that she has won her most recent meeting with Pavlyuchenkova (6-2, 6-3) in the final of the Pan Pacific Open in 2019, it’s fair to say she will do just fine. There is, however some value in betting on Pavlyuchenkova to put up a fight and win one set.

Prediction: Osaka to win 2-1

Serena Williams vs Laura Siegemund – Monday, February 8 – 12:30 AEDT

Serena Williams holds seven Open Era Australian Open titles and is on top of that 2-0 up in the head-to-head with her next opponent Laura Siegemund. That said, the 39-year-old has struggled with injuries over the past few years and most recently last week, when she had to withdraw from the Yarra Valley Classic due to an injured shoulder.

Siegemund’s most notable success of her career came at the 2020 French Open, where she reached the quarter-finals, but she has crashed out of the Australian Open in the second round on her last two appearances. Her best result in Australia came in 2016 when Siegemund beat Kiki Berttens and Jelena Kanković to reach the third round.

On paper this should be an easy match for Williams, however, we are a bit worried about her injured right shoulder, considering how much she relies on powerful serves. Regardless, Williams should win, but we expect a much tighter affair than how it may seem.

Prediction: Lara Siegemund +5.5

Dominic Thiem vs Mikhail Kukushkin – Monday, February 8 – 14:00 AEDT

Dominic Thiem travels to Australia in hopes to improve upon his showing in 2020 when he lost to Novak Djoković in the grand finals and if the outright betting odds are any indication, the Austrian tennis player is in a good spot to at least repeat his success from last year. He will begin his journey at the 2021 Australian Open with a match against Kazakh veteran Mikhail Kukushkin, who has not won a single match in Australia since 2012, which is quite a concerning statistic, considering he has attended every Grand Slam since then.

This will be the first meeting between these two players, which brings up some questions of how will Thiem fare against an unknown opponent. That said, there is no denying the Austrian is a much better player and even that is an understatement.

Thiem’s form in 2020 was phenomenal, having not only reached the grand finals of the Australian Open where he pushed Djoković to five sets but has also won the US Open and made a grand finals appearance at the ATP Finals. The 27-year-old is arguably the best active player outside of Djoković and Rafael Nadal and there is not much to suggest otherwise.

Kukushkin’s best result of 2020 was his win over Christian Garin (no.19) in the second round of the US Open, which hardly compares to what Thiem has shown last year. The 33-year old has, however, had a chance to warm up for the Australian Open by attending the Murray River Open this week, although he has only managed to beat Juan Ignacio Londero (3-0) and eventually lost to Stan Wawrinka 0-3.

There is a world where Kukushkin steals one set off Thiem, but there is an equal chance Thiem wins in three straight sets. A bet on Thiem to win 3-0 pays at around 1.28, so the next best thing is to bet on the Austrian with a -9.5 handicap.

Prediction: Dominic Thiem -9.5