Tennis Betting: 2021 Australian Open Top 3 Predictions

Tennis Betting: 2021 Australian Open Top 3 Predictions

Written by on February 17, 2021

Mybookie returns with another set of free Australian Open 2021 betting tips and predictions, focusing on two quarter-finals and one semi-final match. Here our best bets for Andrey Rublev vs Daniil Medvedev, Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Rafael Nadal and Novak Djokovic vs Aslan Karatsev who will duke it out on Wednesday, February 17 and Thursday, February 18. That said, let’s get right to it so you can bet against their Australian Open odds.

ATP Australian Open – Midweek Top 3 Predictions

Andrey Rublev vs. Daniil Medvedev – Wednesday, February 17 – 15:00 AEDT

Daniil Medvedev enters this match as a far more experienced player when it comes to winning big matches and is also very effective when faced with Andrey Rublev, seeing how he is 4-0 in the head-to-head with his compatriot. What’s more, Medvedev has not dropped a single set in that stretch and is on a 17-game winning streak, so it’s fair to see him priced as the favorite.

To put it into a perspective just how dominant Medvedev has been of late, he has not dropped a single set in four out of his last five matches. The only player that has caused him issues was Filip Krajinovic (3-2) last week, but even that close match gets quickly overshadowed by Medvedev’s commanding victories against Vasik Pospisil (3-0), Roberto Carballes Baena (3-0), and most recently against Mackenzie McDonald (3-0).

Andrey Rublev has established himself as one of the best tennis players of the past two years. He has won five titles in 2020, made it to two Grand Slam quarter-finals and won the ATP Cup for Russia alongside Medvedev.

Like Medvedev, Rublev has breezed through the Australian Open and while beating Yannick Hanfmann, Thiago Monteiro and Feliciano Lopez in straight sets is nothing to sneeze at, he has yet to face a tough opponent. Perhaps it’s fair to mention Rublev has beaten Casper Ruud (2-0), although the latter was forced to retire, so we should take that W with a grain of salt.

Even though Rublev and Medvedev are both top-tier tennis players, it’s hard to side against Medvedev for this match. He has beaten his compatriot in straight sets in all of their last four meetings and considering he has not shown any signs of slowing down, it’s fair to assume he can do it again here.

Prediction: Daniil Medvedev -3.5

Prediction: Daniil Medvedev to win in straight sets

Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Rafael Nadal – Wednesday, February 17 – 19:30 AEDT

Despite Rafael Nadal’s back injury concerns ahead of the 2021 Australian Open, the Spanish tennis superstar did not disappoint with what he has shown. Nadal enters this match off four straight-set wins against Laslo Djere, Michael Mmoh, Cameron Norrie and Fabio Fognini, who he beat 6-3, 6-4 and 6-2 on Monday.

His closest match of the tournament happened against Norrie, who has forced Nadal to two 7-5 sets, yet even he was unable to spoil Nadal’s perfect run. It’s also worth noting that Nadal’s second-serve point winning percentage has been growing throughout the tournament and has peaked at 69% against Fognini and Norrie, which is a good sign as he heads into the Australian Open quarter-final match against Stefanos Tsitsipas.

Tsitsipas started his Australian Open with a commanding 3-0 sweep of Gilles Simon, however, he was pushed to the limits against Thanasi Kokkinakis, who has forced the Greek to five sets (3-2). Regardless of his struggles against World No. 267, Tsitsipas bounced back and secured another straight-set win against Mikael Ymer in the 1/16 finals.

Since Matteo Berrettini forfeited his match with Tsitsipas, the Greek should enter this match rested, which is a plus, however, it remains to be seen whether that will help him can Nadal and defeat him for the first time since May 2019.

Nadal and Tsitsipas last met in November 2020, when Nadal won with 2-1, which is the same scoreline these two produced in all of their last three meetings – dating back to November 2019. Since Tsitsipas managed to win at least one set against Nadal in their last three meetings, it’s fair to assume he can do the same here, however, it’s hard to expect anything more than that.

Prediction: Over 3.5 sets

Prediction: Nadal to win 3-1

Novak Djoković vs Aslan Karatsev – Thursday, February 18 – 19:30 AEDT

Novak Djoković has proven to be a class above the rest for quite some time now, especially on the Australian hard courts and this year is no exception. Novak Djokovic enters this match off a commanding 3-1 victory against the 2020 US Open finalists Alexander Zverev, which is nothing to sneeze at, especially if we consider Zverev took the first set and even led 4-1 in the third.

Even though Djokovic has yet to taste defeat at this year’s Australian Open, he has already been stretched to four sets by Frances Tiafoe and Milos Raonic, as well as to five sets by Milos Raonic, so it’s not like he is invincible.

Karatsev entered the 2021 Australian Open ranked 114th in the world, which makes his run to his first-ever Australian open semi-finals that much more impressive. On Tuesday, Karatsev also became the first player to ever reach semi-finals in a Grand Slam debut, so he is a winner in his own regard, no matter how this match will end.

There are some arguments to be made Karatsev was a bit lucky to edge past Grigor Dimitrov (3-1) given that the latter was suffering from a back injury, however that does not take away from the fact that Karatsev was a set down yet still managed to turn things around.

Considering Djoković had to face much tougher opponents in the rounds leading to the semi-finals, this should be a fairly easy win for the Serbian tennis star, however, we have to take into consideration Djoković has never before played Karatsev. That is not to say Djoković won’t be able to adapt to Karatsev’s game, but since Karatsev is a relatively unknown opponent, we are comfortable predicting the underdog can steal at least one set off the reigning champion.

Prediction: Aslan Karatsev to win a set