Tennis Betting: ATP 2021 BMW Open Analysis

Tennis Betting: ATP 2021 BMW Open Analysis

Written by on April 28, 2021

The BMW Open will see top tennis players return to Munich, Germany, for the first time since 2019. Entering the tournament as the reigning champion, Alexander Zverev will seek his third title on the German clay, but with his injuries and strong field, doing so won’t be an easy task. Let’s take a closer look at the upcoming ATP event so you can bet against their Tennis odds.

2021 ATP BMW Open Betting Preview

The 2021 BMW Open main draw will take place from April 26 – May 2. The field will consist of 28 players, with eight seeds in total, the top four of which will receive a direct bye into the second round.

Although the competition definitely isn’t weak, Zverev is the only world top-10 player attending the tournament. The second seed, Casper Ruud, has had a strong showing in Monte Carlo, whereas the third seed, Aslan Karatsev, is coming off his first ATP title in Dubai.

In today’s free tennis betting preview, we take a look at the four players who you should keep an eye on. Our list consists of the three aforementioned players, as well as an outsider who we believe has a chance to make some noise in Germany.

Casper Ruud

After struggling with injuries, the Norwegian is now very much up and running. He has had an excellent performance at the recent Monte Carlo Masters, where he made it to the semi-finals, only to get eliminated by Andrew Rublev.

Regardless, the 22-year-old beat several top-20 players in Monte Carlo, including Pablo Carreno Busta, Fabio Fognini, and Diego Schwartzman. His performances earned him his second Masters semi-final on clay, having also reached the final four in Rome last season.

Anyone watching Ruud should be quick to spot his changed playstyle. He has become far more aggressive and, overall, a much more efficient player.

One more thing working in Ruud’s favor is that there is a bit of an altitude in Munich. That should give him an edge over most other players since he has plenty of experience playing in such conditions.

Alex Zverev

Alex Zverev is a two-time champion of this event and definitely a man to watch out for. Similar to how it is with Ruud, the thinner air at altitude should add a bit of a boost to his already big serve.

That said, he has had issues with serves of late. As stated by Zverev, he is dealing with elbow problems, which affects his serving.

That’s also the main reason why he might not be the best bet – especially not considering the bookmakers see him as the top favorite.

Filip Krajinovic

The no.36 in the world, Filip Krajinovic enters the BMW Open off a quarter-finals appearance in Belgrade, where he lost to Matteo Berrettini (4-6, 4-6). Before that, he made it to the round of 16 in Monte Carlo, where he got eliminated by Berrettini’s compatriot Fabio Fognini (2-6, 6-7).

Even in Dubai, Krajinovic failed to make it further than the round of 16, losing to Lloyd Harris (6-7, 4-6). Despite his shaky showings of late, he is not a player we would overlook. Looking at his draw, he will likely face off against Jan-Lennard Struff in the quarter-finals, which is a match the Serbian should win.

He would then advance to face off against Zverev in the semis, which is again a match we believe he could win. Although he is weaker than Zverev on paper, the aforementioned injury issues the German is dealing with could help Krajinovic gain the edge to come out ahead.

Yannick Hanfmann

If Alex Zverez is one to fade, the best player to back is another German in Yannick Hanfmann. Although hardly one of the best players at the tournament, Hanfmann has had his best career results at altitude.

He finished runner-up in Kitzbuhel in 2020 and later added a Challenger title in Italy.

Most recently, Hanfmann has made it to the quarter-finals in Cagliari at the start of the month, where he beat no.53 Tommy Paul and no.93 Marco Cecchinato. He came very close to defeating no.34 Lorenzo Sonego as well but ended up losing 6-3. 6-7, 3-6.

As a huge outsider, Hanfmann will likely fly under the radar of many, making him a great longshot pick to win it all.