Tennis Betting: ATP Open Sud de France Analysis

Tennis Betting: ATP Open Sud de France Analysis

Written by on February 23, 2021

The 2021 ATP Tour continues with Open Sud de France, which will be played at Montpellier from 22 to 28 February. The field will feature young talent, as well as of the best tennis players in the world, including Ugo Humbert, Roberto Bautista Agut, David Goffin and former world no.1 Andy Murray, who had to miss the Australian Open due to testing positive for coronavirus.

The 2021 ATP Montpellier will not only bring a week of exciting games for tennis fans to watch and enjoy but also plenty of betting opportunities, starting with the first-round matches, scheduled for Tuesday, February 22. Today, we take a look at the favourites to win the 34th edition of the 2021 Open Sud de France, as well as the best outright bets for the tournament. Let’s get right to it so you can bet against their Tennis odds.

Open Sud de France Betting Preview

ATP Montpellier1st and 2nd Quarter prediction

The top half of the draw will feature a bunch of up-and-coming youngsters who will clash with big names in hopes to prove they belong amongst the elite tennis players. The two standout names in that bracket are the 22-year-old Ugo Humbert and Roberto Bautista-Agut, who are priced as the main favourites to win the first quarter and it’s hard to argue with that.

The betting odds suggest Bautista-Agut is a slight favourite to advance into the semi-finals, which might seem fair, considering he is a more established player. That said, beating the big-serving Hubert won’t be an easy task, especially on the indoor court, where the latter will also enjoy the support of home crows.

At the provided odds, siding with the youngster is a better bet in our book, as he has proven before he can compete with the best players in the world, and the added benefit of the conditions these players will play on should prove enough for Humbert to walk away victorious.

Jan-Lennard Struff is priced as the main favourite to win the second quarter ahead of Gilles Simon, Dennis Novak, Dusan Lajovic, Jiri Vesley and Mikael Ymer. The German player enters ATP Montpellier after an early first-round exit from the Australia Open, where he lost against the home favourite Christopher O’Connell with 6-7, 6-7 and 1-6.

Out of that stack of players, Dusan Lajovic seems like the most likely opponent for Struff in the quarter-finals, since he has received a direct bye into the 1/8 finals, but that does not necessarily guarantee him success. He will first need to defeat the winner of the Denis Novak vs Gilles Simon match, which won’t be an easy task even for the no. 27 in the world.

Even if Lajovic manages to win the 1/8 finals match, it’s hard to imagine he will have an easy time getting past Struff who has already beaten him during the ATP Cup with 6-3, 3-6, 4-6.


  • To win 1st Quarter: Ugo Humbert
  • To win 2nd quarter: Jan-Lennard Struff

ATP Montpellier – Outright prediction

Seven out of the last eight ATM Montpellier titles have been won by a Frenchman, with 13 out of the last 16 finalists coming from the home nation, so it’s more than fair to say French players usually perform well at their home tournament. Although nothing is guaranteed, that trend is worth considering when making an outright prediction.

The current highest-rated French player at the tournament is Ugo Humbert (no. 34), who has a legitimate chance to succeed. He is a young up-and-coming player who excels in indoor courts and has already won a title in Antwerp towards the end of the last season.

At the 2020 St. Petersburg Open, Humbert also pushed the eventual champion Andrey Rublev to 7-5 in the second-round decider and has later also made it to the quarter-finals of the Paris Masters, where he narrowly lost to Milos Raonic (3-6, 6-3, 6-7).

The bookmakers have Humbert priced at around 7.00 (+600) which is a good price to pay and definitely a solid pick to win his third career title.

Prediction: Ugo Humbert to win ATP Montpellier